Data presentation options to manage variability in physical activity research
When daily step-count graphs are too messy to interpret, add a 7-day moving average or proportion-of-baseline line to clarify trends.
01Research in Context
What this study did
Valbuena et al. (2017) wrote a how-to paper for messy step-count graphs. They showed one real data set and seven ways to clean it up.
The tricks are simple. You can add a 7-day moving average, draw a baseline line, or split the y-axis. All work in Excel.
What they found
Raw daily steps jumped up and down like a heartbeat. After adding a moving average, the trend looked smooth and clear.
The authors give step-by-step pictures so you can copy each tactic in five minutes.
How this fits with other research
Dowdy et al. (2022) found almost no one uses structured visual tools in JABA. Valbuena’s seven tactics sit on the shelf, just like the rest.
Manolov et al. (2023) went further and built a free web app that scores trend and overlap for you. Their tool automates what Valbuena still does by hand.
Fradet et al. (2025) push even further. They turn the same visual features into effect-size numbers for meta-analysis. You need clean graphs first; Valbuena shows how to make them.
Why it matters
Next time your client’s data look like a toddler’s crayon scribble, pick one of the seven fixes before you trust your eyes. A smooth line can save you from calling a fake change real, or missing a real change in the noise.
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02At a glance
03Original abstract
This paper presents seven tactics for managing the variability evident in some physical activity data. High levels of variability in daily step-count data from pedometers or accelerometers can make typical visual inspection difficult. Therefore, the purpose of the current paper is to discuss several strategies that might facilitate the visual interpretation of highly variable data. The seven strategies discussed in this paper are phase mean and median lines, daily average per week, weekly cumulative, proportion of baseline, 7-day moving average, change point detection, and confidence intervals. We apply each strategy to a data set and discuss the advantages and disadvantages.
Journal of Applied Behavior Analysis, 2017 · doi:10.1002/jaba.397