Assessment & Research

Accuracy of Modified Checklist for Autism in Toddlers (M-CHAT) in Detecting Autism and Other Developmental Disorders in Community Clinics.

Toh et al. (2018) · Journal of autism and developmental disorders 2018
★ The Verdict

M-CHAT misses many autism cases under 21 months yet still spots most broader delays, so treat fails as urgent cues for fuller assessment.

✓ Read this if BCBAs who help pediatricians interpret toddler screening data in community clinics.
✗ Skip if Clinicians working only with school-age clients or using ADEC as their primary screen.

01Research in Context

01

What this study did

Toh et al. (2018) watched how well the 23-item M-CHAT picked up autism and other delays in regular community clinics.

Doctors gave the checklist to parents of toddlers coming in for routine visits, then noted who later got a full diagnosis.

02

What they found

The screen caught only some kids with autism, especially missing those under 21 months.

It did a better job flagging any broader developmental delay, so a fail still tells you "check this child" even if the label is not autism.

03

How this fits with other research

Allison et al. (2008) built the earlier Q-CHAT, showing parent answers can quantify traits at 18 months, setting the stage for later checklist work.

Hedley et al. (2015) tested the play-based ADEC in hospital clinics and found it caught 93-94 % of ASD toddlers, a much higher hit rate than the M-CHAT shown here.

The difference is setting: hospital kids were already referred and likely showed clearer signs, while community clinics catch a wider, lower-risk group.

Laguna et al. (2025) pushed detection even earlier, using baby cries and AI to reach 90 % accuracy, hinting that sound analysis could one day back up the M-CHAT.

04

Why it matters

Keep using the M-CHAT at 18- and 24-month checkups, but treat any fail as a prompt for fast follow-up, not a diagnosis.

If the child is under 21 months, plan a second screen or move straight to an ADOS/ADI-R referral, since many autism cases slip through at this age.

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When you see an M-CHAT fail for a child under 21 months, schedule an ADOS within four weeks instead of waiting for a repeat screen.

02At a glance

Intervention
not applicable
Design
other
Sample size
19297
Population
autism spectrum disorder, developmental delay
Finding
mixed

03Original abstract

This study determined the accuracy of Modified Checklist for Autism in Toddlers (M-CHAT) in detecting toddlers with autism spectrum disorder (ASD) and other developmental disorders (DD) in community mother and child health clinics. We analysed 19,297 eligible toddlers (15-36 months) who had M-CHAT performed in 2006-2011. Overall sensitivities for detecting ASD and all DD were poor but better in the 21 to <27 months and 27-36-month age cohorts (54.5-64.3%). Although positive predictive value (PPV) was poor for ASD, especially the younger cohort, positive M-CHAT helped in detecting all DD (PPV = 81.6%). This suggested M-CHAT for screening ASD was accurate for older cohorts (>21 months) and a useful screening tool for all DD.

Journal of autism and developmental disorders, 2018 · doi:10.1007/s10803-017-3287-x