Assessment & Research

A perspective on the research literature related to early intensive behavioral intervention (Lovaas) for young children with autism.

Shea (2004) · Autism : the international journal of research and practice 2004
★ The Verdict

The famous 47% EIBI recovery rate is not trustworthy, so speak to families about measurable skill gains instead.

✓ Read this if BCBAs who explain EIBI outcomes to parents or train staff on Lovaas programs.
✗ Skip if Clinicians already using naturalistic models like PRT and no longer citing the 47% figure.

01Research in Context

01

What this study did

Shea (2004) read every early intensive behavioral intervention (EIBI) paper she could find. She focused on the famous Lovaas studies that claim 47% of kids reached normal functioning.

She did not run new kids through therapy. Instead she judged the quality of the old reports. She asked: Are the 47% numbers solid enough to tell parents?

02

What they found

The review says the 47% recovery rate is shaky. The early studies had small groups, loose rules for normal, and no true control group.

Victoria warns that quoting the 47% figure can give families false hope.

03

How this fits with other research

Allen et al. (2001) looked at 25 children getting community EIBI. Zero reached normal status and every child still needed heavy services. This direct clash shows why Victoria doubts the 47% claim.

Studer et al. (2017) ran EIBI in a Swiss outpatient clinic. Kids made clear gains, but none were called recovered. The study extends the story: real-world EIBI helps, yet falls short of miracle rates.

Busch et al. (2010) tried a parent-led PRT program instead of Lovaas EIBI. Children with IQ ≥50 gained 15-19 months in language in one year. The result conceptually copies EIBI goals without using the model Victoria critiques.

04

Why it matters

Stop telling families that nearly half of kids recover with EIBI. The number comes from weak early trials and better data now shows smaller, though still useful, gains. Use EIBI for its real strengths—language, social, and learning gains—while setting honest expectations and tracking each child’s progress with solid probes.

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Replace the word recovery with specific goals in parent meetings; show baseline-to-current graphs instead of the 47% statistic.

02At a glance

Intervention
comprehensive aba program
Design
narrative review
Population
autism spectrum disorder
Finding
not reported

03Original abstract

Various aspects of the research literature on early intensive behavioral intervention (EIBI) have been poorly understood within the psychological, educational, and advocacy communities. Examination of the studies that are frequently cited by proponents of EIBI suggests that the expectation that 47 percent of youngsters who receive EIBI will reach normal developmental status is questionable.

Autism : the international journal of research and practice, 2004 · doi:10.1177/1362361304047223