Different criteria affect prevalence of relapse of behavior targeted for treatment
Count relapse with a mean-of-2 rule so you do not miss early warning signs.
01Research in Context
What this study did
Podlesnik et al. (2025) looked at two ways to score relapse. One rule counts a relapse only if the top five worst moments are above baseline. The other rule counts relapse if the average of just two moments is above baseline.
They ran the same clinical data through both rules. The clients had intellectual or developmental disabilities. The goal was to see which rule catches more returning problem behavior.
What they found
The stricter max-of-5 rule said relapse was rare. The looser mean-of-2 rule said relapse was common. Using the tougher rule hides treatment failure.
How this fits with other research
Williams et al. (2023) also watched how we measure relapse. They tracked caregiver mistakes moment-by-moment and saw every caregiver slip back. Their continuous method backs up the idea that tight rules miss real relapse.
Jarrold et al. (1994) showed that behavior can return with a new function. If you only count the old form, you will still miss failure. Their warning pairs well with the new math: loose criteria catch both old and new problems.
King et al. (2025) showed that even smart relapse plans can let a few responses slip through. Their data fit the mean-of-2 picture: a couple of strong responses matter.
Why it matters
If you use the max-of-5 rule, you may discharge a client too early. Switch to mean-of-2 and you will spot back-slide sooner. Add booster sessions when you see any two data points rise. This small math tweak can save weeks of re-doing treatment.
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02At a glance
03Original abstract
Several studies have examined the prevalence of behavioral relapse among individuals with intellectual and developmental disabilities following common treatment challenges (context changes, schedule thinning). Most applied studies compare behavior during the treatment challenges with the maximum level of behavior from five preceding treatment sessions. This max-of-5 criterion could inadvertently capture behavior in transition during the preceding treatment phase, thereby underestimating the prevalence of relapse. In the current study, we reanalyzed existing clinical data with the max-of-5 criterion and an alternative criterion less likely to capture target behavior in transition—the mean of the last two sessions (mean-of-2 criterion) of the treatment phase. As hypothesized, the max-of-5 criterion produced lower prevalence estimates relative to the mean-of-2 criterion. We encourage researchers conducting these analyses to weigh different approaches to reporting prevalence data and discuss considerations for future areas of research and practice related to measurement of relapse.
Journal of Applied Behavior Analysis, 2025 · doi:10.1002/jaba.2927