Beyond the relational principle of reinforcement.
Baseline counts are not enough; fold in schedule rules, response type, and switching cost before you predict change.
01Research in Context
What this study did
Roper (1978) wrote a theory paper. It said we cannot guess how a schedule will change behavior by looking only at baseline rates.
The author argued we must also model the schedule's own rules, the kinds of responses it asks for, and the cost of switching between them.
What they found
The paper did not give new data. Instead it showed that older models failed when they ignored schedule details.
It claimed that accurate prediction needs extra variables such as response topography, delay, and switching effort.
How this fits with other research
Catania (1971) had already shown that each peck before food adds its own weight to later rate, proving baseline alone is too thin.
Tanno et al. (2009) later taught rats to tell ratio from interval schedules just by the timing of reinforced pauses, turning J’s idea into a clean experiment.
Nevin et al. (2005) added ‘attending probability’ to the mix, giving J’s missing variable a name and a math form.
Capaldi (1992) then widened the lens, urging us to study whole patterns instead of single responses, a direct sequel to Roper (1978).
Why it matters
Next time you write a treatment plan, list more than the current response count. Add the response form the schedule will require, the delay it creates, and any cost the client pays when shifting tasks. Build these into your prediction and your data sheets. You will see fewer surprises and faster adjustments.
Want CEUs on This Topic?
The ABA Clubhouse has 60+ free CEUs — live every Wednesday. Ethics, supervision & clinical topics.
Join Free →Add three columns to your data sheet: response form required, delay to reinforcer, and effort to switch tasks; track them for one week.
02At a glance
03Original abstract
Behavior under baseline conditions in which the contingency is absent can shed some light on the individual's performance under a schedule, but is insufficient as a basis for prediction of performance. This insufficiency of the baseline data runs counter to a recent formalization of the relational principle of reinforcement (Donahoe, 1977). A more satisfactory predictive model must incorporate not only the baseline level of the instrumental response and that of the contingent response, but also the schedule requirements, the character of each response in relation to the other, and the behavior required in simply switching from each to the other.
Journal of the experimental analysis of behavior, 1978 · doi:10.1901/jeab.1978.29-557