Autism & Developmental

Parent Expectations Mediate Outcomes for Young Adults with Autism Spectrum Disorder.

Kirby (2016) · Journal of autism and developmental disorders 2016
★ The Verdict

Parents who expect more get more, so build family hope into every transition plan.

✓ Read this if BCBAs writing transition plans for high-schoolers and young adults with autism.
✗ Skip if Clinicians serving only elementary-age clients or non-autistic populations.

01Research in Context

01

What this study did

Researchers tracked 620 autistic teens for eight years. They asked parents how much they believed their child would work, live on their own, and have friends after high school.

Every two years the team checked whether the youth actually had jobs, took care of daily tasks, and joined social activities. Family income and the teen's everyday skills were also recorded.

02

What they found

Parents who pictured a brighter future had kids who ended up with real jobs and fuller schedules. The higher expectations acted like a bridge, turning family resources and teen skills into adult success.

When expectations were low, even capable teens achieved less. The numbers showed expectations carried more weight than money or IQ scores.

03

How this fits with other research

Ohan et al. (2015) showed that most autistic young adults still struggle with daily tasks years after school. Kirby (2016) adds the why: parent hope helps close that gap.

Lai et al. (2015) found many autism parents feel high stress and depression. Kirby (2016) flips the script, proving that positive parent beliefs can still lift youth outcomes despite stress.

Turk et al. (2010) linked family support to mom's optimism. The new study widens the lens, showing parent expectations shape the teen's future, not just the parent's mood.

04

Why it matters

Transition meetings often focus on job tasks or bus training. This paper tells you to ask parents, 'What do you believe your son or daughter can do at 25?' If the answer is guarded, teach specific skills and share success stories to raise the vision. Higher expectations today predict paychecks and independence tomorrow.

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Add one question to your next parent meeting: 'Where do you see your child working in five years?' Use the answer to set goals and share stories of similar clients who succeeded.

02At a glance

Intervention
not applicable
Design
quasi experimental
Sample size
1170
Population
autism spectrum disorder
Finding
positive

03Original abstract

Understanding the complex relationships among factors that may predict the outcomes of young adults with autism spectrum disorder (ASD) is of utmost importance given the increasing population undergoing and anticipating the transition to adulthood. With a sample of youth with ASD (n = 1170) from the National Longitudinal Transition Study-2, structural equation modeling techniques were used to test parent expectations as a mediator of young adult outcomes (i.e., employment, residential independence, social participation) in a longitudinal analysis. The mediation hypothesis was confirmed; family background and functional performance variables significantly predicted parent expectations which significantly predicted outcomes. These findings add context to previous studies examining the role of parent expectations on young adult outcomes and inform directions for family-centered interventions and future research.

Journal of autism and developmental disorders, 2016 · doi:10.1007/s10803-015-2691-3