Autism & Developmental

Describing Outcomes in Autistic Young Adults One Year After High School Graduation.

Orsmond et al. (2025) · Journal of autism and developmental disorders 2025
★ The Verdict

Autism severity can fall, rise, or sit still between ages 3 and 6, so keep measuring and teaching.

✓ Read this if BCBAs who assess or write transition plans for preschool and kindergarten students with autism.
✗ Skip if Clinicians only serving older teens or adults.

01Research in Context

01

What this study did

The team tracked autistic kids from age 3 to age 6. They used the ADOS severity score to see if symptoms went up, down, or stayed the same.

Girls and boys were compared to spot any sex differences.

02

What they found

About 3 in 10 children scored at least 2 points lower on the ADOS by age 6. Just over half stayed the same. Nearly 2 in 10 scored higher.

Girls improved more often than boys.

03

How this fits with other research

Lovell et al. (2016) saw high label stability: 9 out of 10 kids kept the autism diagnosis from age 3 to middle childhood. Orsmond et al. (2025) show the label can stay while the symptom count still moves around.

Clark et al. (2018) found that children diagnosed before age 3 got more therapy and later needed less school support. The new data back the push for early identification; catching kids early gives room for those symptom drops to happen.

Oredipe et al. (2023) asked autistic adults and learned that earlier diagnosis disclosure linked to higher life satisfaction. Together the three studies build a chain: spot autism early, watch symptoms ease in some, and see happier grown-up years.

04

Why it matters

For you at the clinic table, the takeaway is clear: keep re-testing. A stable diagnosis does not mean a stable score. Schedule fresh ADOS checks before big school transitions. If a girl’s score drops, use the momentum to fade prompts and push peer play. If a boy’s score holds steady, stay calm and keep teaching new skills either way. Progress can still come even when numbers don’t budge.

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Pull your 4- to 6-year-old cases and book a fresh ADOS; compare to baseline and adjust goals for any 2-point shift.

02At a glance

Intervention
not applicable
Design
pre post no control
Sample size
125
Population
autism spectrum disorder
Finding
mixed

03Original abstract

Autism symptom severity change was evaluated during early childhood in 125 children diagnosed with autism spectrum disorder (ASD). Children were assessed at approximately 3 and 6 years of age for autism symptom severity, IQ and adaptive functioning. Each child was assigned a change score, representing the difference between ADOS Calibrated Severity Scores (CSS) at the two ages. A Decreased Severity Group (28.8%) decreased by 2 or more points; a Stable Severity Group (54.4%) changed by 1 point or less; and an Increased Severity Group (16.8%) increased by 2 or more points. Girls tended to decrease in severity more than boys and increase in severity less than boys. There was no clear relationship between intervention history and membership in the groups.

Journal of autism and developmental disorders, 2025 · doi:10.1007/s10803-006-0281-0