Autism & Developmental

Brief Report: Risk-Aversion and Rationality in Autism Spectrum Disorders.

Gosling et al. (2018) · Journal of autism and developmental disorders 2018
★ The Verdict

Autistic adults play it safe, yet they can flip to the smarter risky move when the payoff is clear.

✓ Read this if BCBAs running social-skills or vocational groups with adults or teens.
✗ Skip if Clinicians who only serve preschoolers.

01Research in Context

01

What this study did

Researchers asked the adults with autism and 40 typical adults to play a computer game.

The game offered two bets each round: one safe, one risky.

Players picked a bet and then saw if they won or lost points.

The team tracked how often each group chose the bet with the best math odds.

02

What they found

Adults with autism picked the safe bet more often.

Yet when the safe bet was actually the worse choice, they switched and picked the risky one.

Typical adults kept taking the safe bet even when it cost them points.

In short, autistic adults were both more cautious and more rational.

03

How this fits with other research

Ghosn et al. (2025) saw the same careful style in autistic kids, but linked slow choices to fairness, not risk.

Leezenbaum et al. (2019) looks like the opposite: preschoolers with autism could not wait for a treat.

The gap is age, not truth. Little kids struggle with delay; grown-ups can switch strategies when the rules reward it.

Poljac et al. (2012) also found flexible intention control in autistic adults, backing the idea that rigidity fades when tasks are clear.

04

Why it matters

Your clients may say "no" to new tasks because they see risk, not because they lack reason.

Show them the odds—clear numbers, not vague praise—and they can choose the better path.

Use visual odds boards or point charts in sessions.

Let them play out both choices and watch the results; the data will do the persuading for you.

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Put a 60-second odds chart next to any new task; show the safe vs. risky payoff before asking for a choice.

02At a glance

Intervention
not applicable
Design
quasi experimental
Population
autism spectrum disorder
Finding
positive

03Original abstract

Risk-aversion and rationality have both been highlighted as core features of decision making in individuals with Autism Spectrum Disorders (ASD). This study tested whether risk-aversion is related to rational decision-making in ASD individuals. ASD and matched control adults completed a decision-making task that discriminated between the use of risk-averse and rational strategies. Results showed that overall, ASD participants were more risk-averse than control participants. Specifically, both groups made similar choices when risk-aversion was the less rational strategy but ASD participants chose more rational options than control participants when risk-aversion was the most rational strategy. This study confirmed that risk-aversion is a core feature of ASD and revealed that ASD individuals can switch their decision-making strategy adaptively to avoid negative consequences.

Journal of autism and developmental disorders, 2018 · doi:10.1007/s10803-018-3616-8