Assessment & Research

Using Risk Ratios to Quantify Potential Behavior-Environment Relations

Joslyn et al. (2024) · Perspectives on Behavior Science 2024
★ The Verdict

Risk ratios turn your ABC counts into one clear number that shows how strongly the environment affects the behavior.

✓ Read this if BCBAs who write FBAs and want a quick, data-based check on their visual analysis.
✗ Skip if Practitioners who already use randomization tests and have plenty of data points.

01Research in Context

01

What this study did

Joslyn et al. (2024) wrote a how-to paper. They show you how to turn everyday ABC data into risk ratios.

The authors walk through five real cases. Each case shows the math step-by-step.

No new experiment was run. The goal is to give clinicians a quick number that says how much more likely a behavior is in one condition versus another.

02

What they found

The tutorial shows that risk ratios are easy to compute. You only need counts from your baseline and test sessions.

A ratio of 1 means no change. A ratio of 2 means the behavior is twice as likely in the test condition.

The paper gives simple rules: ratio above 2 or below 0.5 flags a strong link worth following up.

03

How this fits with other research

Manolov (2026) also wants to make single-case stats simple. That paper reviews free websites that give p-values. Joslyn adds risk ratios, so you now have two friendly options: a ratio or a website p-value.

Caron (2024) warns that log ratios can break when you have zeros. Joslyn’s risk ratio can break too if you divide by zero, but the tutorial shows how to add a tiny count to fix it. Both papers agree: never add big fake numbers like 0.5.

Jacobs (2019) and Weaver et al. (2019) push randomization tests instead. Those tests give a p-value but need more data points. Risk ratios work with as few as five sessions, so you can start sooner and still stay objective.

04

Why it matters

You can calculate a risk ratio today with any ABC sheet. The number tells you, at a glance, if the behavior really changes with the environment. Use it to check your visual guess before you write the FBA or start an intervention.

Free CEUs

Want CEUs on This Topic?

The ABA Clubhouse has 60+ free CEUs — live every Wednesday. Ethics, supervision & clinical topics.

Join Free →
→ Action — try this Monday

Pick one target behavior, count its occurrences in two conditions, and calculate your first risk ratio right in Excel.

02At a glance

Intervention
not applicable
Design
methodology paper
Finding
not reported

03Original abstract

Behavior-environment functional relations are the units of explanation in applied behavior analysis (ABA). Whether hypothesized experimentally or descriptively, quantification of putative functional relations improves our ability to predict and influence behavior. Risk ratios are an accessible, straightforward quantitative analysis that can serve this purpose. They have been employed to great effect in other fields (e.g., medicine, public health), but are rarely used within ABA. In this tutorial, we describe risk ratios and how they are calculated, discuss why risk ratios are well suited for quantifying behavior–environment relations, and illustrate their utility and applicability across five demonstrations from real clinical cases. Recommendations for the use of risk ratios in research and practice are discussed.

Perspectives on Behavior Science, 2024 · doi:10.1007/s40614-023-00391-0