Assessment & Research

Early Intervention Project: can its claims be substantiated and its effects replicated?

Gresham et al. (1998) · Journal of autism and developmental disorders 1998
★ The Verdict

The celebrated "47 % recovery" EIP study fails on basic research standards—treat recovery claims with extreme skepticism until RCT replication arrives.

✓ Read this if BCBAs who design or recommend early autism interventions
✗ Skip if Practitioners only running established EIBI protocols with solid evidence

01Research in Context

01

What this study did

Wilkinson et al. (1998) took a hard look at the famous Early Intervention Project. The project had claimed that 47 % of toddlers with autism "recovered" after intense behavioral treatment. The authors checked if those bold claims held up under close inspection. They read every report on the project and graded the research methods.

02

What they found

The review found big holes in the EIP research. There was no true control group. The diagnosis methods kept changing. Outcome tests were not the same for all kids. In short, the study could not prove that the intervention caused the gains. The "recovery" claim rested on shaky ground.

03

How this fits with other research

Lord et al. (2005) later made the same plea: autism intervention studies must use randomized controlled trials. Their paper echoes the 1998 warning seven years down the road.

Méla et al. (2019) did what the target paper asked for. They tracked kids who got low-dose EIBI and found IQ gains faded while autism symptoms returned. This real-world data supports the 1998 call for tougher proof before promising recovery.

Chung et al. (2024) still lists only EIBI and tailored ABA as "best-supported" twenty-six years later. The field has not moved far beyond the cautions first voiced in 1998.

04

Why it matters

When you see a new autism intervention boasting miracle rates, pause. Ask for a peer-reviewed RCT with clear diagnostic criteria and masked outcome assessors. Until that bar is met, stick to well-replicated models like EIBI or parent-mediated ABA that have survived this kind of scrutiny. Your clients deserve nothing less.

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Pull the last autism-recovery article you shared and check if it used an RCT with blinded assessors—if not, replace it with a better study in your next team meeting.

02At a glance

Intervention
not applicable
Design
narrative review
Population
autism spectrum disorder
Finding
not reported

03Original abstract

A comprehensive report to the National Institute of Health on the diagnosis, etiology, epidemiology, and treatment of autism indicated that early intervention has the potential of being an effective intervention (Bristol et al., 1996). In spite of this positive outlook, several research and methodological questions remain regarding time of treatment initiation, intensity of treatment and duration of treatment, random assignment, comparative treatment designs, and treatment integrity. Against this backdrop we consider the claims made by the Early Intervention Project (EIP; Lovaas, 1987, 1993; McEachin, Smith, & Lovaas, 1993). The EIP claims to produce recovery from autism in 47% of the cases and to greatly reduce its severity in an additional 42% of cases. This article evaluates the EIP against threats to internal and external validity and is found to suffer from a number of methodological problems. Based on rebuttals to criticisms of their program, the EIP authors seem unwilling to admit any methodological flaws in the sampling, design, and analysis of data of the EIP. It is recommended that parents and fair hearing officers adopt an attitude of healthy skepticism before proceeding to an unqualified endorsement of the EIP as a treatment for autism.

Journal of autism and developmental disorders, 1998 · doi:10.1023/a:1026002717402