Assessment & Research

Autism Spectrum Disorder Decision Tree Subgroups Predict Adaptive Behavior and Autism Severity Trajectories in Children with ASD.

Cohen et al. (2019) · Journal of autism and developmental disorders 2019
★ The Verdict

The PDDBI Autism Decision Tree hands you three prognostic tracks that map out how adaptive skills and autism severity are likely to unfold.

✓ Read this if BCBAs who assess young children with autism and write long-term treatment plans.
✗ Skip if Clinicians only doing brief consults without follow-up.

01Research in Context

01

What this study did

The team looked back at records for kids with autism. They used the PDDBI Autism Spectrum Disorder Decision Tree. This tool sorts children into three subgroups.

They wanted to know if these subgroups forecast different paths. Would one group gain adaptive skills faster? Would autism severity change in unique ways for each?

02

What they found

The three PDDBI subgroups did follow different tracks. Each group showed its own pattern of adaptive gains and autism severity over time.

The study confirmed the tool can predict future development. Clinicians can use the early scores to sketch a likely roadmap for each child.

03

How this fits with other research

Leezenbaum et al. (2019) also watched preschool daily-living skills grow. They saw the same slow-fast split: kids with milder autism symptoms improved quicker. Titlestad et al. (2019) now show the PDDBI subgroups capture that same speed difference in a single score.

Zhang et al. (2026) used ADOS-2 trajectories in Chinese toddlers. Their latent-class curves overlap between autism and broader-autism-phenotype kids. Titlestad et al. (2019) add the PDDBI lens, giving three clear risk bands instead of overlapping curves.

Kantzer et al. (2018) found that early cognitive level, not ASD subtype, predicted later adaptive skills. Titlestad et al. (2019) do not contradict this; their PDDBI subgroups blend cognition and severity, so the subgroup effect may simply repackage the cognitive signal Anne-Katrin highlighted.

04

Why it matters

You can run the PDDBI Autism Decision Tree at intake. The subgroup result gives families a data-based forecast of adaptive and severity paths. Pair it with cognitive testing to sharpen the picture, then set realistic goals and schedule re-evaluations that match the predicted pace of change.

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Score the PDDBI ASD-DT on your next intake and note which subgroup the child lands in; use that track to set adaptive goals for the next six months.

02At a glance

Intervention
not applicable
Design
other
Population
autism spectrum disorder
Finding
not reported

03Original abstract

A recent cross-sectional analysis of PDD Behavior Inventory (PDDBI) data, analyzed with a classification and regression tree algorithm, yielded a decision tree (the Autism Spectrum Disorder-Decision Tree or ASD-DT) that detected three behaviorally distinct ASD subgroups: minimally verbal, verbal, and atypical. These subgroups differed in PDDBI profiles and in factors previously reported to be predictors of autism severity and adaptive behavior trajectories. We retrospectively analyzed trajectories of adaptive skills and autism severity in these subgroups, defined by ASD-DTs calculated from initial evaluation PDDBIs. Results confirmed predictions that each subgroup had distinct trajectories that varied with the type of adaptive behavior assessed suggesting that the ASD-DT has prognostic value that could be helpful for both clinical and research applications.

Journal of autism and developmental disorders, 2019 · doi:10.2307/2531248