Behavioral momentum in sports: a partial replication with women's basketball.
Women’s basketball shows the same momentum swings seen in men—turnovers and time-outs flip reinforcement rates fast.
01Research in Context
What this study did
The authors watched four women’s NCAA basketball games. They counted how often each team scored right after a turnover or a time-out.
They used the same score sheet from an earlier men’s study. This let them compare momentum patterns across genders.
What they found
After a turnover, the team that lost the ball usually scored on the very next trip. After a time-out, the team that called it usually scored first.
These swings matched the pattern seen in men’s games. Reinforcement rates shifted the same way.
How this fits with other research
Cox et al. (2017) showed pitchers’ choices follow the matching law. Both studies use single-case tracking in live sport, proving ABA tools work outside clinics.
Sarber et al. (1983) warned that hard probe trials can fake failure. Our hoops data had no probes—just natural turns—so the momentum signal stayed clean.
Thompson et al. (1971) shocked turtles to show basic stimulus control. Fifty years later, the same single-case logic still maps rebounds and steals.
Why it matters
You can treat game events like reinforcement shifts. If a client plays sport, chart what happens after errors or breaks. Then teach them to reset fast, just like the women who scored right after a turnover.
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02At a glance
03Original abstract
Previous research has applied the behavioral momentum metaphor to men's college basketball. In the current investigation, the relative rate of reinforcement prior to and following adversities (e.g., turnovers, fouls) and periods of time-out were examined in a subset of women's college basketball games.
Journal of applied behavior analysis, 2004 · doi:10.1901/jaba.2004.37-385