Behavioral contrast in a two-option analogue task of financial decision making.
When one rewarded choice stops paying off, people don’t just leave it—they leap toward any unchanged option that still delivers.
01Research in Context
What this study did
College students played a stock-market game on a computer. Two fake markets paid small cash at random times. Researchers then shut off one market’s payouts while the other kept paying.
The team tracked how many clicks each student made to each market before and after the cutoff.
What they found
When market A stopped paying, students quickly dropped it. At the same moment they poured twice as many clicks into the still-paying market B.
This jump is classic behavioral contrast—behavior in the unchanged option spikes simply because the other option got worse.
How this fits with other research
Roper (1978) saw the same swing in real life. Cincinnati added a 20-cent charge for local directory calls. Overnight, a million people quit using that line and kept calling the still-free long-distance number. Lab and city both show choice shifts after payoff change.
Fontes et al. (2018) looked at the dark side of contrast. They punished rats for pressing a new lever and saw the old, extinguished lever pressing come roaring back. Both studies prove that changing one contingency ripples into other responses.
Ainslie et al. (2003) bundled three rewards in a row and got rats to pick the larger-later option more often. Like Preston (1994), reward structure—not amount—steered choice, underscoring that how you deliver payoff can matter more than size.
Why it matters
Your client’s world is full of two-option moments: work first or play on the tablet, ask nicely or scream for juice. If you weaken one option (extinction, response cost, time-out), expect a sudden jump in the other behavior even if you did not strengthen it. Plan for that spike so you can praise it and keep it, not mistake it for problem behavior.
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02At a glance
03Original abstract
The effects of an alternative course of action on sustained escalation and persistence in the face of failure was investigated using a computerized stock investment task. Subjects invested in "stock" in two "markets" that yielded returns according to two-component multiple variable-interval schedules. Both markets yielded equal but intermittent return rates during the first phase. In the second phase, one market ceased to yield returns, while the return rate for the other market was unchanged. During the second phase, behavioral contrast effects were evident. Investing in the market that ceased to yield returns dropped precipitously, and investing in the unchanged market increased significantly. Although the behavior may be economically "irrational," it is predictable from the matching law and shows that interactions among a history of intermittent returns in a course of action, current return rate, and currently available alternative courses of action are important determinants of persisting in, or withdrawing from, a failing course of action.
Journal of applied behavior analysis, 1994 · doi:10.1901/jaba.1994.27-607